Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000788 0.000899 0.001017 0.001150 0.001296 0.001451 0.001628
2025-02-02 0.000627 0.000783 0.000959 0.001171 0.001418 0.001694 0.002026
2025-02-09 0.000521 0.000692 0.000895 0.001150 0.001458 0.001816 0.002258
2025-02-16 0.000439 0.000619 0.000841 0.001130 0.001491 0.001922 0.002470
2025-02-23 0.000390 0.000579 0.000819 0.001143 0.001558 0.002065 0.002724
2025-03-02 0.000347 0.000540 0.000796 0.001148 0.001613 0.002192 0.002959
2025-03-09 0.000299 0.000490 0.000750 0.001120 0.001619 0.002255 0.003112
2025-03-16 0.000258 0.000444 0.000706 0.001090 0.001620 0.002308 0.003251
2025-03-23 0.000231 0.000416 0.000685 0.001088 0.001655 0.002405 0.003447
2025-03-30 0.000208 0.000391 0.000665 0.001085 0.001689 0.002499 0.003640
2025-04-06 0.000185 0.000363 0.000639 0.001073 0.001707 0.002571 0.003803
2025-04-13 0.000162 0.000334 0.000609 0.001050 0.001708 0.002619 0.003935
2025-04-20 0.000151 0.000324 0.000607 0.001071 0.001774 0.002759 0.004198
2025-04-27 0.000140 0.000312 0.000603 0.001088 0.001834 0.002894 0.004456
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000289 0.000577 0.001069 0.001840 0.002950 0.004606
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000267 0.000552 0.001049 0.001843 0.003001 0.004748
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000257 0.000547 0.001062 0.001895 0.003124 0.004993
2025-05-25 0.000092 0.000246 0.000538 0.001067 0.001936 0.003230 0.005217
2025-06-01 0.000080 0.000226 0.000511 0.001040 0.001924 0.003258 0.005328
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000207 0.000484 0.001012 0.001908 0.003279 0.005427
2025-06-15 0.000062 0.000196 0.000473 0.001010 0.001934 0.003362 0.005619
2025-06-22 0.000056 0.000186 0.000462 0.001007 0.001959 0.003445 0.005812
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000174 0.000447 0.000996 0.001968 0.003502 0.005965